Monday, 7 March 2011

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Crude climbs above $105 on Libya, Mideast woes

  • Monday, 7 March 2011
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  • * Libya conflict rages, keeps crude oil prices up




     * Prices off highs on rumors of Gaddafi exit deal




     * U.S. weighs release from strategic oil reserves




     * Coming up: API oil data, 4:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday






     NEW YORK, March 7 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures ended
    nearly 1 percent higher to hit their highest levels since
    September 2008 as raging violence in Libya spawned further worries
    about supply disruptions.




     Fears persisted that similar uprisings could hit other oil
    producers in the Middle East and North Africa, further raising
    geopolitical risks.




     April crude CLJ1 settled well off highs near $107 a barrel,
    however, as rumors spread that Muammar Gaddafi was seeking an exit
    deal.




     Traders next focus on weekly U.S. inventory reports. A Reuters
    poll forecast that domestic crude stocks rose 300,000 barrels,
    while distillates and gasoline fell 900,000 barrels and 1.3
    million barrels, respectively. [EIA/S]




     FUNDAMENTALS




     * On the New York Mercantile Exchange, April crude CLJ1
    settled up $1.02, or 0.98 percent, at $105.44 a barrel, the
    highest since the Sept. 26, 2008, close at $106.98. It traded from
    $104.25 to $106.95.




     * U.S. crude's discount against Brent narrowed to $9.60, from
    $11.55 at the close Friday. April Brent LCOJ1 settled at
    $115.04, down on rumors about Gaddafi's exit deal. [CL-LCO=R]




     * Britain and some other countries are working on a U.N.
    Security Council resolution allowing for a no-fly zone over Libya,
    British Foreign Secretary William Hague said. [ID:nNLDE72620E]
    [ID:nNlDE7260G5]




     * Gulf Arab states called for a no-fly zone imposed in Libya
    and for an urgent Arab League meeting to discuss the Libyan
    situation, a statement from the Gulf Cooperation Council said.
    [ID:nLDE72625E]




     * The White House pushed back against pressure from some
    lawmakers for direct intervention in Libya, saying it first wanted
    to figure out what various military options could achieve.
    [ID:n0781461]




     * NATO launched 24-hour surveillance of Libya with AWACS
    reconnaissance planes as the military alliance plans potential
    steps to address Libya's violent unrest. [ID:n07107760]




     * The U.S. government is considering tapping its strategic oil
    reserves to safeguard economic growth, White House Chief of Staff
    William Daley told NBC's "Meet the Press" on Sunday, echoing
    comments by some Obama officials. [ID:nN06273383]




     * OPEC ministers are holding informal consultations about oil
    prices and Libya, but the group is not planning to hold an
    emergency meeting, an OPEC delegate said. [ID:nLDE7260TT]




     * Citigroup raised its price forecasts for Brent and U.S.
    crude for 2011 and 2012, citing a stronger-than-expected first
    quarter and a "fear premium" on threats of continued output
    disruptions. [ID:nL3E7E70MN]




     * Commerzbank raised its second-quarter forecast for Brent
    LCOc1 crude to $120 a barrel, from $93. [ID:nL3E7E70T9]




     * Morgan Stanley (MS.N) has stopped trading crude and refined
    products with Libya to comply with U.S. sanctions against the
    Gaddafi government.[ID:nLDE7261B6]




     MARKETS NEWS




     * U.S. gold futures ended off a record high as oil prices
    pulled back from early highs on speculation Gaddafi was seeking a
    deal to leave the country. [ID:n07566740]




     * Copper suffered its biggest one-day loss in nearly four
    months as rising oil prices and geopolitical instability fanned
    recovery doubts. [MET/L] [ID:nLDE72610M]




     * Wall Street ended lower in a technology shares sell-off
    while uncertainty spawned by higher oil prices looked set to fuel
    further volatility in the days ahead. [.N]




     * The euro's rally against the dollar halted as sovereign debt
    worries returned, but oil prices and expectations for higher euro
    zone interest rates were seen continuing to favor the currency.
    [USD/] .DXY




     UPCOMING DATA/EVENTS




     * U.S. Energy Information Administration weekly petroleum
    inventory data, 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT), Wednesday.




        SETTLE     NET    PCT     LOW    HIGH  CURRENT  DAY AGO




                  CHNG   CHNG                      VOL      VOL
    CLc1 105.44 1.02 1.0% 104.25 106.95 369,957 369,148
    CLc2 106.73 1.12 1.1% 105.46 108.25 140,696 127,363
    LCOc1 115.04 -0.93 -0.8% 114.50 118.50 196,140 167,586
    RBc1 3.0039 -0.0425 -1.4% 2.9988 3.0936 34,584 34,950
    RBc2 3.0119 -0.0406 -1.3% 3.0065 3.0950 22,493 16,996
    HOc1 3.0657 -0.0236 -0.8% 3.0467 3.1372 39,748 51,620
    HOc2 3.0743 -0.0214 -0.7% 3.0561 3.1426 19,529 19,514
    TOTAL MARKET VOLUME OPEN INTEREST




              CURRENT    Mar 04   30D AVG     Mar 04  NET CHNG
    CRUDE 818,485 865,400 928,926 1,568,095 -7,498
    RBOB 86,185 78,922 116,733 277,160 -293
    HO 95,742 128,562 135,042 307,984 702
    (Reporting by Gene Ramos and Robert Gibbons)
    (Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/07/markets-energy-nymex-idUSN0711784320110307)

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